How Well Does Seattle Recover From Disaster?
Turns out, pretty well.
80.5 percent* is the percentage of Seattle metro area homes that have recovered to peak pre-recession value, according to a recent Trulia article.
What does this mean, exactly?
It means that the Seattle area has recovered quite well compared to a large amount of the United States. The region ranks #22 nationally in recovery percentage (a bit surprising we're that low), currently sitting behind Colorado smoking buddies Denver (#1, with an impressive 98.7 percent recovery rate) and Colorado Springs (#7, 93.4 percent), San Francisco (#2, 98 percent), and Oklahoma City (#3, 94.3 percent—and give us back the Sonics, please).
Other cities beating us at the moment include Dallas (#9, 92.5 percent), Honolulu (#11, 91.5 percent), and Portland (#13, 90.3 percent—grrrr).
Find the full list here.
Among the areas with the lowest recovery rates, including the bottom tier of Las Vegas—#101, with just 0.6 percent of homes back to pre-recession value), Tucson (100, 2.4 percent), and Fresno (99, 2.5 percent), it's no surprise to find that these cities have seen the worst income growth in the years spanning December 2009 to January 2017.
And guess what?
The cities with the strongest recovery rates, including our beloved Seattle, also have the strongest income growth. With the median Seattle proper home price currently clocking in at $638,000 (and $426,000 in the Seattle metro area), that's no big surprise, really. It takes a heavy wallet (or a lot of big wallets) to help dig us out of such a monumental disaster, especially considering that just 34.2 percent of all homes nationally have fully recovered to their pre-recession peak value.
The three big factors that set the tone for quicker recovery include, alongside income growth, job growth and population growth, as well as post-recession vacancy rate.
It's a bit humbling to see just how far into the hole the housing market was just eight years ago, spurred by the foreclosure crisis that was so big it now has its own major motion picture. The good news is that, according to Trulia, U.S. home recoveries have been steadily—albeit slowly—climbing since the stuff that hit the fan began to get cleaned up, to the tune of 5 to 6 percentage points per year. While Trulia's data suggests we won't see 100 percent of homes fully recovered until September 2025, the fact that we can again use terms like "thriving" and "booming" when it comes to the housing market and our economy feels good. Let's hope we can keep wearing these buzzwords out.
Now, if we can only figure out where to house all these home-hungry folks…
*All data courtesy of Trulia.com
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