King County home prices hit their lowest point for July since 2012

Is that faint rumbling we hear in the distance carryover from Seafair Weekend and its barrage of air and sea entertainment? Or could it be that ever-elusive housing bubble finally popping and coming back down to normal levels of absurdity?

After all, even the Blue Angels have left town.

Maybe they saw the inevitable spin back down to earth. Or perhaps we’re all just blowing this housing cooldown out of proportion. Whatever stance you take, one thing’s certain: the Seattle-area real estate market has fallen to its lowest point in four years, shedding a crevice of light for homebuyers and inducing a fleeting shock of panic for owners sitting on their plots of gold-laden land.

The number of homes for sale throughout King County rose a staggering 48 percent in July as compared to a year ago, according to the Northwest Multiple Listing Service, which means inventory now exceeds 2015 levels. The 48 percent jump is the biggest we’ve seen in a decade and is mostly due to homes that have been waiting patiently for owners on the market. All signs point to a noteworthy dip in demand, as July home sales reached their lowest prince since July of 2012, when the market was at a low point.

How big was the decrease? King County’s July median home price of $699,000 is down $27,000 from the record highs we saw earlier this year. Last year, July was the most expensive month of the year.

In Seattle, home prices were down $25,000, making the median $805,000. Eastside prices also saw a dip, falling $30,000 in just a month to a median price of $947,000. Snohomish County, not one to be left out, also saw an increase in active listings, up almost 16 percent from this time last year.

Have we finally hit the ceiling? If we have, it’s not just regional; the national trend at the moment is one of a long-awaited inventory uptick just as hotspots like Seattle, Silicon Valley, and Austin are finally cooling off—metaphorically, of course (enjoy 90 degrees this week). Seattle is unique in the fact that its home sales saw the second-biggest jump in the country, according to info gathered from realtor.com, right on the heels of our neighbors down south in Silicon Valley.

Why is this happening?

Those in the know point to stabilized rents, high mortgage rates, slightly less frenetic population and job growth, and waning interest from Chinese buyers.

Many are already shouting, “I told you so!” at the top of their lungs but, as always, time will tell if we’ll continue this down-surge or if we’re all just suffering from a curable case of “buyer fatigue.” In the meantime, inventory levels are still an issue; while King County has doubled its March inventory, we’re still significantly below a healthy four-to-five months of inventory, according to Robert Wassa of the Northwest MLS board of directors. And people still need a place to live in some capacity.

We’ll be hearing a lot more about our region’s housing trends, whichever way they end up going, in the weeks and months ahead. Stay tuned.

Originally reported by Mike Rosenberg in the Seattle Times, “More Seattle-area home sellers lower list prices as market cools way down,” August 6

Data gathered from realtor.com and the Northwest Multiple Listing Service

Contact: data@mbaks.com

The median price for single-family homes and condos surged to $820,000 in King County and $715,000 in Snohomish County. In King County, the median price for single-family homes rose by 14% to $914,500, compared to last year. Similarly, Snohomish County witnessed a 9% increase, with the median price climbing to $750,990. These increases reflect a broader trend: the median sales price of homes increased in 19 out of 26 counties and decreased in 7 counties relative to February 2023.

Read the full March Builders Bulletin:

A home is more than bricks and sticks. Under the law and project documents summarized below, a complex bundle of rights and obligations are imposed upon the buyer and builder.

Why is disclosure a buyer’s best friend? The best consumer protection the law can provide is ensuring an opportunity to acquire an understanding of the products being purchased. This is difficult to achieve, however, because of the complex bundle of rights and obligations being obtained.¹

A builder wants a buyer to buy—but only what the builder is selling; not what a buyer mistakenly hopes or believes is being sold. To avoid post-closing disputes, a builder needs clear guidance to describe what is being sold (the complex bundle of rights and obligations).

The Washington Condominium Act (WCA, RCW 54.34, for condominiums) and Land Development Act (LDA, RCW 58.19, for subdivisions) require a Public Offering Statement (POS) containing mandatory specific information. The objectives fostered by this approach include: providing guidance for POS contents; promoting clear and concise POS’s; encouraging buyers to read and understand; avoiding irrelevant, ambiguous, and confusing disclosures; avoiding a false sense of security that lengthy POS’s contain all relevant information; promoting uniform POS’s; facilitating project comparison; enabling POS preparation at reasonable cost; facilitating obtaining legal opinions; and decreasing the need for state agency review. The WCA-POS is mandatory. The LDA-POS is often not required because of various exemptions (e.g., lot is improved with, or builder is under contract to build, a house). But, an LDA-POS may be given voluntarily. ^{1, 2}

The WCA/LDA disclosures involve three components: cautions to buyers, topics covered, and documents delivered. To avoid post-closing disputes, WCA/LDA POS’s provide the following cautions: buyer has a cancellation period; buyer may only rely on seller representations and express warranties contained in the POS or a writing signed by seller; buyer may not rely upon agent’s promises; POS is only a summary of some significant aspects of the home; documents are complex, contain other important information and create binding obligations; and buyer should seek legal counsel assistance. ²

The topics covered by the POS include: community name and address; developer and management company name, address and relationship; nature of interest being purchased; permitted and restricted uses; number of homes; principal amenities; limited common areas; land the owners and others may access; construction status; association and owner maintenance; owner's assessments; other dwelling fees; governmental assessments; blanket encumbrances; developer’s rights; model homes; association liens; physical hazards; construction warranties; building code violations; association litigation; association insurance; documents delivered; insulation data; and Form 17 environmental disclosures. ²

The documents delivered with the POS include: public offering statement; declaration; plat/survey map; HOA articles; HOA bylaws; HOA rules; HOA balance sheet; HOA annual budget; and construction warranty. ²

The Form 17 Seller Disclosure Statement (provided for under RCW 64.06) creates problems for sellers— the questions are subjective, subject to multiple interpretations, provide grounds for litigation, and are not well designed for builder project sales. Buyers may waive, and builders need not provide, a Form 17. Builders should give either a WCA or LDA POS in lieu of a Form 17—builders are not avoiding disclosures, but are providing disclosures more appropriate for project sales. However, the builder must provide in the POS the Form 17, Section 7 Environmental Disclosures if any question would be answered YES. ³

A single Disclosure Book, with Acknowledgement Addendum, should be used, and contains: POS and documents; delivered when PSA signed; makes disclosures a part of buyer’s contract; avoids document delivery hassles; assures that buyer gets disclosures; and makes proof of delivery easier.

The builder’s Addendum to the Purchase and Sale Agreement should provide for buyer’s waiver of the Form 17 and acceptance of the builder’s alternative Disclosure Book.

Endnotes: ¹ WCA Comments; ² RCW 64.34.400, 405 & 410 and 58.19.030, 045 & 055; ³ RCW 64.06.

Author: James C. (Pete) Middlebrooks, owner of the Law Office of James C. Middlebrooks, provides comprehensive services to individual, corporate, and institutional clients on residential and commercial real estate development, land use, acquisition, investment, and financing.

423.252.2693  |  pete@jcmiddlebrooks.com